ResearchResearch paperTraining & Scaling · Reinforcement Learning · Efficiency & Inference1 source · Oct 8, 2026

ISBO: Scalable Spatio-Temporal Bayesian Optimization with Log Gaussian Cox Process Models via the INLA-SPDE Approach

We introduce INLA-SPDE Spatio-Temporal Bayesian Optimization (ISBO): the first scalable BO framework for spatio-temporal data, that models the log-intensity with a Log-Gaussian Cox Process(LGCP) and performs inference via Integrated Nested Laplace Approximation and Stochastic Partial Differential Equations (INLA-SPDE) approach.

Key points

  • Bayesian Optimization (BO) is a popular method for efficiently optimizing expensive black-box objectives.
  • However, BO utilizing standard Gaussian Processes is ill-suited for doubly stochastic Cox Processes that are often used in spatio-temporal problem spaces.
  • Using a Matern field on meshes yields a sparse Gaussian Markov Random Field, where INLA provides fast and accurate posterior inference throughout sequential optimization.
  • Experiments on synthetic and real-world spatio-temporal datasets show accurate peak discovery, intensity recovery, and substantial speedups over an RKHS-based baseline, positioning ISBO as a practical choice for BO with point-process data.

Sources (1)

  • [1]ISBO: Scalable Spatio-Temporal Bayesian Optimization with Log Gaussian Cox Process Models via the INLA-SPDE Approach
    arXiv (AI, ML, NLP, CV, robotics, multi-agent) · Oct 8, 04:01 PM
    We introduce INLA-SPDE Spatio-Temporal Bayesian Optimization (ISBO): the first scalable BO framework for spatio-temporal data, that models the log-intensity with a Log-Gaussian Cox Process(LGCP) and performs inference via Integrated Nested Laplace Approximation and Stochastic Partial Differential Equations (INLA-SPDE) approach.
    Bayesian Optimization (BO) is a popular method for efficiently optimizing expensive black-box objectives.

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