BusinessFunding / M&ASafety & Alignment · Efficiency & Inference · Applications1 source · Oct 9, 2026

Quoting Matthew Green

I think there is a 1% chance we live in Minicrypt, and a 15% chance we functionally lose confidence in our existing public-key encryption algorithms. [...]

Proof1 independent outlet

Key points

  • Everyone is very concerned about being respectable, so I’m going to be the goofball who raises worst-case possibilities.
  • The problem here is that the speed of AI producing surprises, and the speed of human beings replacing standards (even with the very best AI assistance) are just orders of magnitude different.
  • I looked it up and Minicrypt is Russell Impagliazzo’s hypothetical world in which public-key encryption is impossible.
  • Tags: ai-security-research, matthew-green, cryptography, standards, llms, ai, generative-ai

Sources (1)

  • [1]Quoting Matthew Green
    Simon Willison's Weblog · Oct 9, 03:02 PM
    I think there is a 1% chance we live in Minicrypt, and a 15% chance we functionally lose confidence in our existing public-key encryption algorithms. [...]
    Everyone is very concerned about being respectable, so I’m going to be the goofball who raises worst-case possibilities.

Extractive summary: sentences quoted from the sources.

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