The Cyber Risk Discourse is Broken

Key points

• Open weight models pose an untenable risk to society’s functionality, occupied by frontier lab leadership and the national security community in the U.S.1
• Chinese companies continuing to release open-weight models with strong cyber capabilities, who are making decisions based on the risk assessments of their society and government.1
• The problem with this is not the technical research they did, which is largely reasonable, but the failure to engage on more cross cutting questions like: What happens if we ban open models due to cyber risks or why do Chinese companies deem these models safe to release?1
• As someone who tries to make grounded predictions, the evidence of numerous attacks from OpenAI models is the only data I have on the shape of cyber risks (or, you can broaden the scope to include all of FelonyBench).1

Sources (1)

• [1]The Cyber Risk Discourse is Broken
  Interconnects (Nathan Lambert) · Oct 6, 02:22 PM

  - Western voices saying open weight models are necessary for defense and banning them will make the world less safe, occupied by AI risk moderates to different extremes.

  - Open weight models pose an untenable risk to society’s functionality, occupied by frontier lab leadership and the national security community in the U.S.

Extractive summary: sentences quoted from the sources.