ResearchResearch paperTraining & Scaling · Efficiency & Inference · Interpretability1 source · Oct 6, 2026

Exact Calibration and Sharp Risk Geometry for Volume-Sampled Ridge Regression

We study ridge regression from exactly $s$ distinct rows of a fixed design.

Key points

  • The determinant law and selected ridge fit share one positive definite penalty.
  • Our main result concerns centered covariance risk normalized by full-data penalized loss.
  • The balanced geometry yields a same-sample unbiased ridge--Horvitz--Thompson mixture with lower sharp risk and an exact mean-share improvement boundary.
  • Under full recalibration after feature changes, we prove quadratic regret from searching the complete old maximizing space and a query-uniform bound on the mixture's risk gain.

Sources (1)

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