AnalysisOpinion / analysisLarge Language Models1 source · Oct 2, 2026

Limits of Confidence in Diffusion

Discrete diffusion, including remasking and uniform-state samplers, generate a sequence by writing multiple token positions per step, drawing each from a per-position distribution and choosing which positions to write from those same distributions.

Key points

  • For domains of general interest (pixels, phonemes, or words) there are inherent dependencies between tokens.
  • On ScanAndAdd, a synthetic task whose joint distribution is available in closed form, we verify that every group of two or more undetermined positions a confidence ranking writes is dependent, and measure the generated distribution to be 29× the sampling-noise floor total variation while per-sample metrics are 1.0.
  • July 9, 2026research area Methods and Algorithms, research area Speech and Natural Language Processing
  • On-policy distillation offers dense, per-token supervision for training reasoning models; however, it remains unclear under which conditions this signal is beneficial and under which it is detrimental.

Sources (1)

  • [1]Limits of Confidence in Diffusion
    Apple Machine Learning Research · Oct 2, 12:00 AM
    Discrete diffusion, including remasking and uniform-state samplers, generate a sequence by writing multiple token positions per step, drawing each from a per-position distribution and choosing which positions to write from those same distributions.
    For domains of general interest (pixels, phonemes, or words) there are inherent dependencies between tokens.

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  2. Sep 29, 2026microsoft/AesCode-32B
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  4. Sep 29, 2026[AINews] AMD buys World Labs for $8.2B, as Atlas solves sparse reconstruction problem for robotics, design and more
  5. Aug 26, 2026vllm-project/vllm v0.28.0
  6. Aug 10, 2026huggingface/transformers v5.15.0: Release: v5.15.0

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