ResearchResearch paperEfficiency & Inference1 source · Oct 8, 2026

Critical Mass: Structure-Disjoint Splits Drift With the Libraries They Are Built On

Molecular machine learning evaluates out-of-distribution performance with structure disjoint splits, a construction rule fixed once at the scale its library happened to have: threshold a pairwise distance, then assign whole connected components to folds.

Key points

  • For predicting structures from mass spectra, the field has converged on single-linkage clustering under the myopic Maximum Common Edge Subgraph (MCES) distance at a threshold of 10.
  • We propose an optimized version of this criterion, allowing for computationally feasible application on the public libraries: Admissible bounds and a union-find skip reduce $2.6 \times 10^{10}$ molecular pairs to only $1.15 \times 10^{7}$ integer programs, a $2{,}259\times$ saving, while provably producing the lossless partition.
  • We find that at this scale the graph percolates.
  • Large library benchmarks using this splitting rule naively therefore conflate structural novelty with extrapolation to larger, more complex chemistry.

Sources (1)

  • [1]Critical Mass: Structure-Disjoint Splits Drift With the Libraries They Are Built On
    arXiv (AI, ML, NLP, CV, robotics, multi-agent) · Oct 8, 08:20 PM
    Molecular machine learning evaluates out-of-distribution performance with structure disjoint splits, a construction rule fixed once at the scale its library happened to have: threshold a pairwise distance, then assign whole connected components to folds.
    For predicting structures from mass spectra, the field has converged on single-linkage clustering under the myopic Maximum Common Edge Subgraph (MCES) distance at a threshold of 10.

Extractive summary: sentences quoted from the sources.

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