ResearchResearch paperEfficiency & Inference · Training & Scaling1 source · Oct 8, 2026

Spatial Context or Memory? Sizing the Inputs of Neural Surrogates for Partially Observed Fields

Neural surrogates that forecast a physical field from sparse, noisy sensors read a window of nearby sensors and a history of past snapshots.

Key points

  • We measure the trade-off between window and history against the Bayes-optimal error of the same readings.
  • An exact Gaussian analysis shows that noisy or sparse observation of a field with local dynamics makes the optimal forecast read distant sensors only through spatial correlation.
  • On a forced linear field with a known optimum, trained models that read only the window come within 1% of it.
  • We then train such models on viscous Burgers flow and the chaotic Kuramoto-Sivashinsky (KS) equation, with every deciding comparison fixed before any test evaluation.

Sources (1)

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