ResearchResearch paperImage, Video & 3D Generation · Training & Scaling1 source · Oct 9, 2026

Spatial Prediction with Guided Diffusion

Here, we show how recent developments in guided diffusion modelling from machine learning can address a wide class of problems in spatial prediction when the likelihood function derived from the data model is known and differentiable, possibly after relaxation.

Key points

  • Spatial prediction is a critically important task in data analyses that involve spatially or spatio-temporally-referenced data.
  • The target quantity is the predictive distribution, which is the conditional distribution of the latent spatial process given the observed data.
  • We demonstrate our approach on several simulation studies and in a controlled experiment of methane-flux inversion over the UK and Ireland.
  • We show that guided diffusion can sample from the correct predictive distribution in a variety of settings, that it can be applied to models where MCMC is intractable, and that it scales well with the dimensionality of the latent process.

Sources (1)

  • [1]Spatial Prediction with Guided Diffusion
    arXiv (AI, ML, NLP, CV, robotics, multi-agent) · Oct 9, 04:09 AM
    Here, we show how recent developments in guided diffusion modelling from machine learning can address a wide class of problems in spatial prediction when the likelihood function derived from the data model is known and differentiable, possibly after relaxation.
    Spatial prediction is a critically important task in data analyses that involve spatially or spatio-temporally-referenced data.

Extractive summary: sentences quoted from the sources.

Before this

  1. Oct 9, 2026Learning Representations to Guide Pixel Diffusion Transformers
  2. Oct 9, 2026Surfing the Activation Wave: Analyzing the Information and Geometry of LLM Hidden States for Speculative Decoding
  3. Oct 9, 2026Rethinking Relative Policy Differences Transfer of On-Policy Distillation
  4. Oct 9, 2026InstantFusion: A Shared Latent Interface for Heterogeneous Image Generators
  5. Oct 9, 2026PreSTO: Predictive Subtree Prefetching for Fast LLM Power Sampling
  6. Oct 9, 2026MixTok: Adaptive Visual Tokenization with Global 1D Tokens and Sparse 2D Refinement

Related