Probabilistic Sensing, Deterministic Authority: Admitting Model-Produced Observations into Sufficiency-Checked Governance Contracts

Key points

• The probability that sensing changes the verdict is bounded by the sum, over the contract's sensed fields, of the admitted-wrong and unknown rates.1
• This is an instantiation of union-bound reasoning, indexed by the contract.1
• Minimising the estimated bound is a valid cost model for choosing among sufficient contracts.1
• Sensing-aware selection picked the lower-exposure contract in 4 of 4 registered tests.1

Sources (1)

• [1]Probabilistic Sensing, Deterministic Authority: Admitting Model-Produced Observations into Sufficiency-Checked Governance Contracts
  arXiv (AI, ML, NLP, CV, robotics, multi-agent) · Oct 7, 11:02 PM

  When a field that an authority contract needs exists only in unstructured evidence, a model can sense it.

  The probability that sensing changes the verdict is bounded by the sum, over the contract's sensed fields, of the admitted-wrong and unknown rates.

Extractive summary: sentences quoted from the sources.