ResearchResearch paperReinforcement Learning · Robotics & Embodied AI1 source · Oct 6, 2026

Beyond Waypoint Regression: Query-Based Cost Learning over Reachable Ego Futures for End-to-End Driving

We propose a query-based cost-learning framework that estimates bounded costs for dynamically reachable ego trajectory queries, rather than dense BEV cells or a small regressed trajectory set.

Key points

  • End-to-end planners based on waypoint regression achieve strong open-loop accuracy, but they primarily learn to mimic expert geometry and remain difficult to adapt to deployment-time safety constraints.
  • Compact joint scene tokens capture coherent multimodal agent futures, while contingency-aware cost aggregation and cost-guided intra-cluster MPPI mixing convert the learned cost topology into feasible ego plans.
  • On nuScenes, our method improves over prior cost-estimation planners such as ST-P3 and NMP, outperforms most regression baselines in collision rate, while remaining competitive in L2, and retaining an interpretable cost interface.
  • On real-world driving logs, the proposed planner reduces collision rates compared with SparseDrive and Alpamayo without fine-tuning, while maintaining a diverse set of candidate trajectories.

Sources (1)

  • [1]Beyond Waypoint Regression: Query-Based Cost Learning over Reachable Ego Futures for End-to-End Driving
    arXiv (AI, ML, NLP, CV, robotics, multi-agent) · Oct 6, 10:43 AM
    We propose a query-based cost-learning framework that estimates bounded costs for dynamically reachable ego trajectory queries, rather than dense BEV cells or a small regressed trajectory set.
    End-to-end planners based on waypoint regression achieve strong open-loop accuracy, but they primarily learn to mimic expert geometry and remain difficult to adapt to deployment-time safety constraints.

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